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Home Sales Off to a Bumpy Start in 2015

Home Sales Off to a Bumpy Start in 2015

DAILY REAL ESTATE NEWS |

Existing-home sales dropped in January to the lowest rate in nine months, according to the National Association of REALTORS®’ latest housing report. All regions across the country saw declines in sales in January, with the Northeast and West posting the largest losses.

Still, the pace of sales was higher than a year ago – at a 4.82 million seasonally adjusted annual rate remains up 3.2 percent compared to a year ago.

“January housing data can be volatile because of seasonal influences, but low housing supply and the ongoing rise in home prices above the pace of inflation appeared to slow sales, despite interest rates remaining near historic lows,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “REALTORS® are reporting that low rates are attracting potential buyers, but the lack of new and affordable listings is leading some to delay decisions.”

5 Stats to Gauge the Market

Here’s a closer look at where the housing market stands, based on NAR’s existing-home sales report for January.

Inventory: Total housing inventory at the end of January rose 0.5 percent to 1.87 million existing homes available but sale. Unsold inventory is at a 4.7-month supply at the current sales pace.
Home prices: The median existing-home price for all housing types was $199,600 – 6.2 percent above year ago levels. “Although sales cooled in January, home prices continued solid year-over-year growth,” Yun notes. “The labor market and economy are markedly improved compared to a year ago, which supports stronger buyer demand. The big test for housing will be the impact on affordability once rates rise.”
Distressed sales: Foreclosures and short sales comprised 11 percent of sales in January, down 15 percent from a year ago. Broken out, 8 percent of sales in January were from foreclosures and 3 percent were short sales. The average discount that a foreclosure sold at was 15 percent below market value, while short sales were discounted, on average, 12 percent.
Days on the market: Properties tended to stay on the market slightly longer in January – 69 days compared to 66 days in December. Short sales remained on the market the longest at a median of 128 days, while foreclosures tended to sell in 63 days. Overall, 30 percent of homes sold in January were on the market for less than a month.
Cash sales: All-cash sales made up 27 percent of transactions in January, down from 33 percent a year ago. Individual investors, who account for the bulk of cash sales, purchased 17 percent of homes in January, below the 20 percent in January 2014.

Regional Breakdown

Here’s a closer look at existing-home sales in January across the country:

Northeast: existing-home sales dropped 6 percent to an annual rate of 630,000. Sales are 3.3 percent above a year ago. Median price: $247,800, up 2.7 percent from a year ago
Midwest: existing-home sales fell 2.7 percent to an annual level of 1.08 million in January. Sales are still 0.9 percent above January 2014 levels. Median price: $151,300, up 8.2 percent from a year ago
South: existing-home sales dropped 4.6 percent to an annual rate of 2.07 million in January, but are still 5.6 percent above year ago levels. Median price: $171,900, up 7.4 percent from a year ago
West: existing-home sales fell 7.1 percent to an annual rate of 1.04 million in January, but are still 1 percent above a year ago. Median price: $291,800, up 7.2 percent from a year ago.

Allow me to add my 2 cents. On the San Francisco Peninsula – we are experience a HUGE demand for housing. We actually are having a housing shortage with the volume of people who work on the peninsula and expect to live on the peninsula. As a result we have seen rental prices soar through the roof! I can’t even believe I used to rent a two bedroom apartment in 1996 for under $1000 in SAN CARLOS! Now – a 2 bedroom apartment is going for close to $2500-$3500 A MONTH! And the East Bay is rapidly capturing our displaced employees – have you seen the bridges these days during commute hours? Redwood City is one of the few communities that has actually built housing and they are going for a premium. So if you want to call San Mateo or Santa Clara County home – it’s best you start saving your money and get into the market sooner than later. The Caton Team is here to help you every step of the way. Call or email me anytime.

Sabrina

650.568.5522 or sabrina_caton@yahoo.com

I read this article at: http://realtormag.realtor.org/daily-news/2015/02/24/home-sales-bumpy-start-in-2015?om_rid=AACmlZ&om_mid=_BU7P7wB8-lmizw&om_ntype=RMODaily

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Why Homebuyers Need to Act Now

Wow – the article below really stuck a chord with me – as I just heard one of my buyers “wants to wait”. I cringe when I hear that – because in my 11 years in this business, and Susan’s 16 years – “waiting” has got our clients no where!

Well, let me rephrase that – those who were able to get back into the market after stepping out – ended up spending more money on less house. Point Blank – end of story. I kid you not. Some of them are still looking and it isn’t getting any easier. Now maybe the few would couldn’t buy before the financial crises did great “waiting” by buying afterwards – but those folks are far and few between and those days are long behind us. We have exceeded our pre-bust prices – by far! And with the way our market has fully recovered, with amazing demand we have for housing on the San Francisco Peninsula and the lack of inventory – waiting means paying more money for less house. And in some cases not even a house – but a condo or townhouse – or nothing at all.

There is a phrase in Real Estate we use. Don’t wait and buy real estate – buy real estate and wait! Once you own your home, you will gain equity as the market continues to climb. Now I know so many buyers, myself included, that would like to see prices come down a bit – for affordability factors. However, that’s not likely to happen here on the San Francisco Peninsula. Do you know how many new office spaces are being built or planed to be built here? I do. And it is a lot. And where are these people going to live? If you want to rent a place these days – get ready to fork over at least $2000 for a one bedroom apartment if not a studio! And why waste a good $2000 on rent when a person could easily afford a mortgage payment and actually earn some equity so that you can buy a larger house down the road.

The first home you buy will never be perfect, nice enough, or big enough. But buy investing in a home – since we all need to live somewhere – a buyer will earn equity that will in turn get them into a better home down the road. In the long run, you earn more money buying and holding real estate than the stock market or that saving account.

It breaks my heart to hear when person looses steam while trying to buy a home. Our Bay Area real estate market is very competitive. Always has, always will. However, The Caton Team knows how to maneuver through it and have had great success with our buyers who take our sage advice, consider the facts, review our numbers and give it their all.

If you have questions regarding buying or selling – we are here to help – call or email me any time.

Sabrina

650-568-5522

sabrina_Caton@yahoo.com

Now for the article…

Why Homebuyers Need to Act Now

DAILY REAL ESTATE NEWS

Home buyers need to move fast if they want to spend less, notes Jonathan Smoke, chief economist at realtor.com® in commentary at the site.

“Delayed purchases will only result in higher monthly mortgage payments as prices and rates rise,” Smoke writes. Realtor.com® is forecasting that affordability may decline as much as 10 percent over the year.

The Federal Reserve continues to remind the financial markets that it plans to raise its target federal funds rate this year, which will cause mortgage rates to rise. Many economists are predicting 30-year fixed-rate mortgages to average near 5 percent by the end of the year.

For now, mortgage rates are near historical lows for homebuyers and home owners who can take advantage. Freddie Mac reported last week that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.66 percent (last year at this time it averaged 4.32 percent), and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 2.98 percent (a year ago, it averaged 3.40 percent).

“Right now, the Fed is using the word ‘patient’ to describe its approach to picking the time to raise the target rate,” Smoke notes. “However, when the Fed ‘loses patience,’ rates will go up at least 20 to 40 basis points in anticipation of the target rate officially going up. … So, buyers beware: The clock on these low mortgage rates may be ticking.”

Source: “2015: Buy Now, Before the Fed’s Patience Ends,” realtor.com® (Jan. 30, 2015)

I read this article at: http://realtormag.realtor.org/daily-news/2015/02/04/why-homebuyers-need-act-now?om_rid=AACmlZ&om_mid=_BU0pLgB8-LaaY2&om_ntype=RMODaily